Zimbabwe's Presidential Elections: A Prognosis
[2008 June 6]

This paper is based on an ealier presentation given to the Coghena Workshop in Harare

The result of the election (although it ought not to have done) stunned everyone, and ZANU PF most of all. The combined MDCs took 109 of 210 House of Assembly seats against ZANU PF's 97. The elected seats in the Senate split 50:50. The presidential poll gave 1 195 562 votes (47.9%) to Morgan Tsvangirai, 1 079 730 votes (43.2%) to Robert Mugabe, 207 470 votes (8.3%) to Simba Makoni and 14 503 votes (0.6%) to Lanton Towungana. Two other aspirant presidentila candidates Chiota and Shumba had their nomination papers rejected and instituted legal proceedings.

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